Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1213 | 1066 | 70% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 899 | 866 | 55% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 960 | 870 | 63% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 960 | 870 | 63% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 998 | 890 | 65% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1108 | 1037 | 60% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 940 | 1152 | 23% | 2016-11-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2016-09-01 | Won |
| 1221 | 890 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 897 | 897 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 1141 | 35% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1153 | 40% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 985.6 has a 60.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).