Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1048 | 54% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 872 | 865 | 51% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 963 | 1005 | 44% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 963 | 1005 | 44% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 924 | 892 | 55% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1219 | 1059 | 72% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 1130 | 982 | 70% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1168 | 1140 | 54% | 2016-11-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2016-09-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 893 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 897 | 898 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1104 | 1077 | 54% | 2016-05-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 1150 | 43% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 934 | 66% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1077 | 1143 | 41% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1151 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1016.6 has a 56.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).