Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1276 | 30% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1253 | 999 | 81% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1012 | 1128 | 34% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1217 | 22% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 910 | 865 | 56% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
| 986 | 1045 | 42% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1420 | 26% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
| 1076 | 965 | 65% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1073 | 41% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1073 | 968 | 65% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 872 | 956 | 38% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1070 has a 45.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).