Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (12 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1276 | 26% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1243 | 959 | 84% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 1127 | 41% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1001 | 52% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 904 | 865 | 56% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
| 975 | 1045 | 40% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1420 | 28% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
| 1201 | 970 | 79% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1097 | 38% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1097 | 969 | 68% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 873 | 879 | 49% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1046.4 has a 51.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).