Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1204 | 28% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
| 964 | 957 | 51% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1242 | 950 | 84% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1042 | 1107 | 41% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 937 | 866 | 60% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 999 | 52% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1062 | 81% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
| 1204 | 970 | 79% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 1097 | 34% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1052 | 56% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 874 | 980 | 35% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1016.3 has a 55.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).