Costly Baptism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 151 (42 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 87
Defender wins (Polish): 63
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 975 | 55% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
1183 | 1183 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
1128 | 994 | 68% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
1083 | 1008 | 61% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
890 | 953 | 41% | 2023-03-14 | Lost |
1063 | 957 | 65% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
1310 | 1327 | 48% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
941 | 920 | 53% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
1013 | 1072 | 42% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
904 | 919 | 48% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
1112 | 1168 | 42% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-05-22 | Won |
959 | 862 | 64% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
970 | 1108 | 31% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
1057 | 1156 | 36% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
1010 | 1013 | 50% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
935 | 917 | 53% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
1087 | 982 | 65% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
982 | 1104 | 33% | 2018-04-26 | Won |
1055 | 1275 | 22% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
1030 | 1058 | 46% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
1197 | 1100 | 64% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
1026 | 1327 | 15% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
899 | 948 | 43% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
899 | 948 | 43% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
1198 | 948 | 81% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1003 | 1042 | 44% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
1013 | 977 | 55% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
987 | 1273 | 16% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
1017 | 1144 | 32% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
1028 | 1018 | 51% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
1227 | 1142 | 62% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
938 | 1175 | 20% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
904 | 1017 | 34% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
1138 | 887 | 81% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1054.7 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).