Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (25 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 35
Defender wins (Slovakian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1333 | 1333 | 50% | 2025-09-18 | Won |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1169 | 1254 | 38% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 937 | 1131 | 25% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1193 | 1055 | 69% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 864 | 927 | 41% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 1036 | 64% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 982 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 916 | 78% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 938 | 1254 | 14% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1219 | 18% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1133 | 33% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1133 | 33% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1133 | 33% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1028 | 960 | 60% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1031 | 50% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1065 | 49% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1063 | 49% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1068.4 vs 1092.6 has a 46.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).