Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (24 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 18
Defender wins (Slovakian): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1169 | 1192 | 47% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1196 | 1066 | 68% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 864 | 998 | 32% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1124 | 1034 | 63% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 982 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 941 | 75% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1182 | 961 | 78% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 938 | 1192 | 19% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 971 | 1219 | 19% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1128 | 36% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1128 | 36% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1128 | 36% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 987 | 57% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1115 | 51% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1044 | 52% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1050 | 51% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1085.5 has a 46.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).