Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (Polish): 8
Defender wins (Slovakian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2025-09-18 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1208 | 26% | 2023-12-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1283 | 16% | 2022-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-02-01 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1030 | 64% | 2021-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2020-06-20 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-03-28 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2019-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 953 | 74% | 2019-03-08 | | Won |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2019-01-13 | | Won |
| 939 | 1283 | 12% | 2018-05-14 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1218 | 18% | 2018-03-14 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1133 | 26% | 2017-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2017-09-09 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1133 | 26% | 2017-01-10 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1133 | 26% | 2017-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1008 | 60% | 2016-11-20 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2016-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1080 | 43% | 2016-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2016-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1079.8 has a 44.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).