Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (25 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 36
Defender wins (Slovakian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1239 | 1336 | 36% | 2025-09-18 | Won |
| 1060 | 1174 | 34% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 1220 | 41% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1143 | 46% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1076 | 1029 | 57% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 863 | 956 | 37% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 1037 | 64% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1090 | 982 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 999 | 68% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 939 | 1220 | 17% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1216 | 18% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1007 | 60% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1077 | 1033 | 56% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1109 | 53% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1080 | 43% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 1051 | 1060 | 49% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1108.7 has a 43.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).