Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (7 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 927 | 41% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 879 | 934 | 42% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1035 | 49% | 2018-07-03 | Won |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1145 | 60% | 2018-05-03 | Won |
| 934 | 1215 | 17% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008.9 vs 1067.4 has a 41.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).