Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 998 | 32% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 879 | 1010 | 32% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2018-07-03 | Won |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1221 | 1144 | 61% | 2018-05-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 1215 | 24% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1223 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 1090.9 has a 39.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).