Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 896 | 77% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1282 | 1192 | 63% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1080 | 44% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1030 | 1221 | 25% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 993 | 1215 | 22% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1182 | 932 | 81% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 960 | 1213 | 19% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 967 | 50% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1075.1 has a 50.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).