Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1196 | 30% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1075 | 920 | 71% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1268 | 1249 | 53% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1028 | 47% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1013 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 1217 | 26% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 984 | 1216 | 21% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1184 | 932 | 81% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 962 | 1196 | 21% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 939 | 54% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1078 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).