Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1178 | 32% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1066 | 909 | 71% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1253 | 1220 | 55% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1216 | 27% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1188 | 932 | 81% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 970 | 1178 | 23% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 943 | 54% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1160 | 1170 | 49% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1076 vs 1073.7 has a 50.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).