Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 925 | 42% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1153 | 38% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 1190 | 951 | 80% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1063 | 47% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1028 | 44% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 1007 | 1256 | 19% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
| 740 | 1256 | 5% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 1171 | 973 | 76% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
| 1171 | 973 | 76% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
| 986 | 1333 | 12% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1081.2 has a 42.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).