Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 871 | 941 | 40% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1194 | 29% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 1203 | 951 | 81% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1013 | 1169 | 29% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 1006 | 1037 | 46% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1279 | 19% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
| 731 | 1279 | 4% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 1164 | 972 | 75% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
| 1164 | 972 | 75% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
| 986 | 1340 | 12% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1101.5 has a 39.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).