Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (29 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 901 | 57% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1228 | 33% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1006 | 63% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 1007 | 1051 | 44% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 960 | 864 | 63% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 990 | 1153 | 28% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1141 | 1007 | 68% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
| 1123 | 1115 | 51% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 913 | 1112 | 24% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1052 | 58% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1055 | 38% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1007 | 68% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1057 | 47% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 974 | 1017 | 44% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1153 | 989 | 72% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1220 | 922 | 85% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
| 1416 | 1026 | 90% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1250 | 1208 | 56% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1137 | 46% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1024 | 1025 | 50% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 1208 | 1012 | 76% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1028 | 42% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1124 | 41% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 1256 | 34% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1056.5 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).