Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (31 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 65
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 971 | 53% | 2025-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 869 | 62% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1228 | 33% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 1006 | 983 | 53% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1191 | 1029 | 72% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
| 1160 | 1125 | 55% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 913 | 1023 | 35% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1038 | 60% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1134 | 28% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1029 | 72% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 975 | 59% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 988 | 1017 | 46% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1162 | 989 | 73% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 933 | 1146 | 23% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1218 | 941 | 83% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
| 1430 | 1061 | 89% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1251 | 1220 | 54% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1131 | 982 | 70% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1034 | 39% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 1220 | 1013 | 77% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1019 | 44% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1087 | 81% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1059 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1191 | 1206 | 48% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 890 | 1129 | 20% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1085.1 vs 1051.7 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).