Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (16 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1107 | 43% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1065 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 920 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1078 | 1036 | 56% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
| 1135 | 964 | 73% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1052 | 57% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
| 1181 | 844 | 87% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 889 | 71% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 1329 | 1026 | 85% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 1045.5 has a 55.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).