Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 938 | 59% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 988 | 937 | 57% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1064 | 72% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 974 | 959 | 52% | 2022-01-29 | Won |
| 959 | 1047 | 38% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 999 | 1206 | 23% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1173 | 27% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1206 | 999 | 77% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 989 | 61% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1102 | 941 | 72% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 924 | 974 | 43% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1064 | 935 | 68% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 850 | 860 | 49% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 982 | 65% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1017.9 vs 996.7 has a 53.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).