Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 987 | 46% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 903 | 939 | 45% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1224 | 1219 | 51% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1257 | 20% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1018 | 1173 | 29% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 864 | 934 | 40% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1004 | 989 | 52% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 879 | 77% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 912 | 976 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1219 | 935 | 84% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 847 | 857 | 49% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 959 | 68% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1027.9 vs 1012.2 has a 52.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).