Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 968 | 50% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 990 | 981 | 51% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 931 | 936 | 49% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1123 | 64% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1242 | 21% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1017 | 1173 | 29% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1242 | 1017 | 79% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 843 | 965 | 33% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1012 | 990 | 53% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 918 | 75% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 914 | 976 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1123 | 935 | 75% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 846 | 857 | 48% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 953 | 69% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1002.4 has a 53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).