Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 970 | 50% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1203 | 53% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1254 | 23% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1173 | 32% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1254 | 1041 | 77% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 864 | 942 | 39% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 990 | 50% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 922 | 74% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 913 | 976 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1203 | 935 | 82% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 846 | 857 | 48% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 937 | 71% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1013.4 has a 53.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).