Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (10 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2026-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2024-08-12 | | Won |
| 991 | 1047 | 42% | 2024-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-22 | | Won |
| 922 | 926 | 49% | 2019-10-26 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1122 | 35% | 2018-08-03 | | Won |
| 1184 | 967 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | | Won |
| 1184 | 967 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1116 | 37% | 2017-03-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1033.9 vs 1018.7 has a 52.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).