The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (15 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1020 | 1040 | 47% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
1004 | 959 | 56% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
985 | 1004 | 47% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
1016 | 881 | 69% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
1021 | 1020 | 50% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
910 | 958 | 43% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2021-05-17 | Won |
1334 | 1019 | 86% | 2020-06-10 | Lost |
1004 | 962 | 56% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
1191 | 985 | 77% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
936 | 1016 | 39% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
1067 | 879 | 75% | 2018-01-03 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | Won |
1092 | 1016 | 61% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1040.7 vs 999.2 has a 55.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).