Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1017 | 998 | 53% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
987 | 977 | 51% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-08-22 | Won |
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
1019 | 1159 | 31% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
892 | 919 | 46% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
1197 | 1045 | 71% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
995 | 998 | 50% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
1109 | 1037 | 60% | 2019-05-29 | Won |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
1092 | 1006 | 62% | 2016-12-04 | Lost |
1006 | 881 | 67% | 2016-10-17 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1008.6 has a 53.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).