Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2024-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2024-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2024-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2024-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2023-10-06 | D | Won |
| 907 | 965 | 42% | 2023-06-05 | D | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-08-22 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-10-17 | | Won |
| 1191 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1172 | 31% | 2020-07-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2020-05-11 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1044 | 67% | 2019-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2019-06-30 | | Tied |
| 1075 | 1035 | 56% | 2019-05-29 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-10-04 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 889 | 65% | 2016-10-17 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1010.7 has a 55.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).