Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2024-08-30 | Lost |
| 937 | 933 | 51% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1040 | 1052 | 48% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 907 | 956 | 43% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 933 | 947 | 48% | 2022-08-22 | Won |
| 1039 | 993 | 57% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1225 | 1052 | 73% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1172 | 31% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1243 | 1045 | 76% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 997 | 1052 | 42% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1069 | 1035 | 55% | 2019-05-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1090 | 1052 | 55% | 2016-12-04 | Lost |
| 1052 | 879 | 73% | 2016-10-17 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1009.5 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).