Not Out of the Woods Yet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 921 | 70% | 2025-03-06 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-08-28 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2024-04-27 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2024-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1056 | 63% | 2024-04-27 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1150 | 42% | 2024-03-05 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2023-10-25 | D | Lost |
| 1076 | 1117 | 44% | 2021-10-20 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1098 | 32% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1108 | 911 | 76% | 2020-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2019-07-03 | | Won |
| 1055 | 948 | 65% | 2018-10-14 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-10-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1038.1 has a 45.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).