Not Out of the Woods Yet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (13 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 885 | 72% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 964 | 937 | 54% | 2024-08-28 | Lost |
| 707 | 1001 | 16% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 916 | 60% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1056 | 58% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2023-10-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 983 | 52% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 988 | 1075 | 38% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 911 | 76% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1055 | 948 | 65% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-10-14 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 998.4 vs 1009.4 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).