Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (19 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1157 | 1074 | 62% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1359 | 40% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 1009 | 49% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 892 | 873 | 53% | 2024-02-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 997 | 52% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 918 | 67% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1009 | 969 | 56% | 2022-10-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 969 | 58% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 990 | 1009 | 47% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 998 | 876 | 67% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1209 | 37% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1028 | 1214 | 26% | 2019-02-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1193 | 29% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-11-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1059 | 62% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1035.5 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).