Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 937 | 57% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
858 | 880 | 47% | 2024-02-20 | Lost |
937 | 997 | 41% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
937 | 1044 | 35% | 2022-10-05 | Won |
1032 | 1044 | 48% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
838 | 937 | 36% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
977 | 878 | 64% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
1142 | 1204 | 41% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
1038 | 1208 | 27% | 2019-02-17 | Lost |
1037 | 1109 | 40% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-11-27 | Lost |
1197 | 1059 | 69% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 984.6 vs 1022.6 has a 44.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).