Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (19 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1073 | 66% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1358 | 37% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2024-02-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 997 | 53% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1043 | 920 | 67% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 968 | 57% | 2022-10-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 968 | 59% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 934 | 864 | 60% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 934 | 864 | 60% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 994 | 1018 | 47% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 952 | 879 | 60% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1204 | 40% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1042 | 1209 | 28% | 2019-02-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1219 | 26% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-11-27 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1059 | 62% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1037.7 has a 50.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).