Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 122 (56 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 59
Defender wins (German): 62
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2024-04-10 | Lost |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 972 | 65% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1116 | 1185 | 40% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 979 | 879 | 64% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2023-04-21 | Won |
| 1089 | 953 | 69% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 999 | 46% | 2022-09-14 | Lost |
| 1049 | 959 | 63% | 2022-08-25 | Won |
| 949 | 1228 | 17% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-07-28 | Won |
| 1064 | 1151 | 38% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1014 | 53% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 975 | 52% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 893 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-01-09 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1200 | 1023 | 73% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 928 | 897 | 54% | 2021-07-27 | Won |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 967 | 932 | 55% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1039 | 49% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 946 | 1081 | 31% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1256 | 20% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1049 | 997 | 57% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 983 | 1049 | 41% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 971 | 910 | 59% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1049 | 936 | 66% | 2018-09-08 | Won |
| 1079 | 1035 | 56% | 2018-08-13 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1037 | 64% | 2018-05-10 | Lost |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Won |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 971 | 980 | 49% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 971 | 980 | 49% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1217 | 44% | 2017-05-11 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 975 | 51% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 869 | 879 | 49% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1123 | 41% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1018.4 vs 1035.8 has a 47.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).