Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 122 (56 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 59
Defender wins (German): 62
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2024-04-10 | Lost |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 972 | 65% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1116 | 1185 | 40% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 987 | 878 | 65% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-04-21 | Won |
| 1059 | 953 | 65% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1257 | 19% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 1010 | 44% | 2022-09-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 959 | 61% | 2022-08-25 | Won |
| 949 | 1228 | 17% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-07-28 | Won |
| 1063 | 1149 | 38% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1015 | 53% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1169 | 26% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 893 | 950 | 42% | 2022-01-09 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1143 | 1022 | 67% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 886 | 897 | 48% | 2021-07-27 | Won |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 970 | 1162 | 25% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 966 | 933 | 55% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1035 | 985 | 57% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 953 | 1090 | 31% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1257 | 23% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 997 | 56% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 950 | 76% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 983 | 1037 | 42% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 950 | 930 | 53% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 910 | 63% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 879 | 1162 | 16% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 936 | 64% | 2018-09-08 | Won |
| 1138 | 1035 | 64% | 2018-08-13 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1036 | 64% | 2018-05-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 981 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Won |
| 978 | 950 | 54% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 971 | 1162 | 25% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 971 | 1162 | 25% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1217 | 46% | 2017-05-11 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 1162 | 974 | 75% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 940 | 973 | 45% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 870 | 879 | 49% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 879 | 1162 | 16% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1122 | 43% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1019.6 vs 1046.5 has a 46.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).