Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (48 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 63
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1028 | 48% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
1073 | 972 | 64% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
1116 | 1090 | 54% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
1016 | 1003 | 52% | 2023-04-21 | Won |
939 | 1188 | 19% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
1083 | 939 | 70% | 2022-09-14 | Lost |
998 | 959 | 56% | 2022-08-25 | Won |
947 | 1152 | 24% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
1083 | 1032 | 57% | 2022-07-28 | Won |
1057 | 1143 | 38% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
1012 | 1016 | 49% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
1034 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
1018 | 1429 | 9% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
1429 | 1018 | 91% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
1058 | 1112 | 42% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
905 | 1013 | 35% | 2022-01-09 | Lost |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
1172 | 972 | 76% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
959 | 898 | 59% | 2021-07-27 | Won |
892 | 901 | 49% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
984 | 1317 | 13% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
901 | 1210 | 14% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
1034 | 1055 | 47% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
953 | 1095 | 31% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
1003 | 1008 | 49% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
990 | 1188 | 24% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
892 | 901 | 49% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
998 | 996 | 50% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
916 | 1131 | 22% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
1070 | 1013 | 58% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
980 | 998 | 47% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
1013 | 982 | 54% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
1003 | 970 | 55% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
881 | 1058 | 27% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
998 | 934 | 59% | 2018-09-08 | Won |
972 | 981 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Won |
978 | 1013 | 45% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
919 | 1058 | 31% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
919 | 1058 | 31% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
1146 | 1284 | 31% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
1058 | 973 | 62% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
898 | 890 | 51% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
870 | 881 | 48% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
881 | 1058 | 27% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1010.2 vs 1046.6 has a 44.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).