Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (37 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 886 | 76% | 2025-04-16 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2024-11-29 | Won |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-07-11 | Won |
| 1037 | 1047 | 49% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1139 | 1123 | 52% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1139 | 1190 | 43% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2023-09-16 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-10-28 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2022-05-02 | Won |
| 919 | 1013 | 37% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 1022 | 67% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 970 | 1050 | 39% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 950 | 1120 | 27% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1037 | 51% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1162 | 51% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1136 | 1257 | 33% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
| 1059 | 930 | 68% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 1078 | 40% | 2020-11-13 | Won |
| 1007 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1006 | 974 | 55% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1216 | 1084 | 68% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1135 | 999 | 69% | 2019-05-23 | Won |
| 998 | 1050 | 43% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 981 | 1090 | 35% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1058 | 1071 | 48% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1071 | 48% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1122 | 991 | 68% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1138 | 47% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 989 | 1007 | 47% | 2018-02-24 | Won |
| 950 | 973 | 47% | 2017-08-10 | Won |
| 1066 | 976 | 63% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1162 | 1133 | 54% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1023 | 1037 | 48% | 2016-12-17 | Lost |
| 1162 | 879 | 84% | 2016-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1054.2 has a 51.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).