Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (36 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2025-04-16 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-11-29 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-07-11 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-12-02 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1145 | 49% | 2023-10-04 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-10-04 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-09-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2022-10-28 | | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-10-20 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2022-05-01 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-10-09 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-10-06 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1121 | 29% | 2021-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2021-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1217 | 22% | 2021-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 987 | 57% | 2020-11-14 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-11-13 | | Won |
| 1061 | 996 | 59% | 2020-10-16 | | Won |
| 991 | 972 | 53% | 2020-01-11 | | Won |
| 1216 | 1067 | 70% | 2019-06-08 | | Won |
| 1132 | 999 | 68% | 2019-05-23 | | Won |
| 998 | 1075 | 39% | 2019-03-31 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1126 | 32% | 2019-01-19 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1068 | 48% | 2018-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1068 | 48% | 2018-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 990 | 68% | 2018-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2018-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2018-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2018-02-24 | | Won |
| 966 | 974 | 49% | 2017-08-10 | | Won |
| 1077 | 973 | 65% | 2017-06-28 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-03-19 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1078 | 40% | 2016-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2016-10-19 | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1030.1 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).