Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (37 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 928 | 67% | 2025-04-16 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-11-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1040 | 51% | 2024-07-11 | Won |
| 1049 | 1047 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1139 | 1117 | 53% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1139 | 1201 | 41% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2023-09-16 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-10-28 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-05-02 | Won |
| 920 | 983 | 41% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 1200 | 976 | 78% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1122 | 33% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1045 | 49% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 1256 | 34% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 975 | 66% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 1078 | 40% | 2020-11-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 992 | 974 | 53% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1135 | 999 | 69% | 2019-05-23 | Won |
| 998 | 1050 | 43% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 978 | 1081 | 36% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1057 | 1071 | 48% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1071 | 48% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1123 | 991 | 68% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1079 | 55% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 986 | 1020 | 45% | 2018-02-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2017-08-10 | Won |
| 1077 | 976 | 64% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1180 | 1176 | 51% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1007 | 1045 | 45% | 2016-12-17 | Lost |
| 980 | 879 | 64% | 2016-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1050.1 has a 52.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).