Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (11 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 998 | 48% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2022-10-31 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 1020 | 42% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 925 | 1174 | 19% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 898 | 886 | 52% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1035 | 70% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1219 | 906 | 86% | 2018-07-18 | Won |
| 898 | 1181 | 16% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1017.9 has a 50.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).