Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (11 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 926 | 58% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 960 | 999 | 44% | 2022-10-31 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1137 | 56% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 1024 | 985 | 56% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 893 | 886 | 51% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1035 | 70% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1108 | 52% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1220 | 886 | 87% | 2018-07-18 | Won |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 1153 | 26% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1042.8 has a 48.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).