Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (11 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 910 | 60% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2022-10-31 | Lost |
| 1255 | 980 | 83% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 996 | 889 | 65% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1217 | 880 | 87% | 2018-07-18 | Won |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1116 | 30% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1025.9 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).