Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (11 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 894 | 62% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 966 | 1019 | 42% | 2022-10-31 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 962 | 1058 | 37% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 940 | 886 | 58% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1035 | 64% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1109 | 52% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1216 | 880 | 87% | 2018-07-18 | Won |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1030.5 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).