Corridor To Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (29 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 53
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1155 | 1174 | 47% | 2025-12-06 | Won |
| 999 | 970 | 54% | 2025-12-05 | Won |
| 1122 | 1204 | 38% | 2025-12-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1120 | 58% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1060 | 66% | 2024-04-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1019 | 993 | 54% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1202 | 1123 | 61% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1048 | 62% | 2020-07-12 | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2020-07-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1045 | 64% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 997 | 996 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 956 | 898 | 58% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 997 | 52% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 933 | 959 | 46% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 958 | 1130 | 27% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1026 | 63% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
| 1079 | 977 | 64% | 2018-12-20 | Won |
| 1113 | 1143 | 46% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1239 | 994 | 80% | 2018-01-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 882 | 89% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1045 | 44% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1045 | 1143 | 36% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1060 | 66% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 1113 | 29% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
| 1143 | 1140 | 50% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1082.6 vs 1055.8 has a 53.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).