Corridor To Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (28 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 51
Defender wins (German (SS)): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1204 | 39% | 2025-12-06 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2025-12-05 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2025-12-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1121 | 62% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1048 | 71% | 2024-04-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 1063 | 43% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1050 | 50% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1171 | 1174 | 50% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1093 | 56% | 2020-07-12 | Won |
| 1056 | 1071 | 48% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2020-07-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1033 | 62% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1021 | 996 | 54% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 879 | 899 | 47% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1021 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 958 | 1008 | 43% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 958 | 1078 | 33% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1052 | 44% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
| 1194 | 940 | 81% | 2018-12-20 | Won |
| 1048 | 1065 | 48% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1333 | 993 | 88% | 2018-01-04 | Won |
| 1137 | 885 | 81% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 986 | 52% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1033 | 1117 | 38% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1048 | 71% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
| 1139 | 1151 | 48% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1090.5 vs 1057.4 has a 54.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).