Trial Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (14 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 32
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
780 | 865 | 38% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
1026 | 992 | 55% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
1026 | 992 | 55% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
1063 | 928 | 69% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
1049 | 914 | 69% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
1028 | 1009 | 53% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
981 | 1113 | 32% | 2017-05-22 | Won |
925 | 917 | 51% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2017-04-02 | Lost |
1087 | 1014 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1002.6 vs 993.5 has a 51.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).