Trial Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (19 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 24
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1099 | 41% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 890 | 865 | 54% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1014 | 998 | 52% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 998 | 52% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 889 | 66% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 1097 | 56% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1052 | 904 | 70% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
| 1150 | 1263 | 34% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1009 | 53% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1135 | 982 | 71% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 1173 | 23% | 2017-05-22 | Won |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1007 | 68% | 2017-04-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1024 | 43% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1050.6 vs 1030.5 has a 52.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).