Trial Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (18 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 23
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 805 | 79% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 917 | 866 | 57% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 1202 | 1089 | 66% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1023 | 1050 | 46% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1050 | 46% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1002 | 894 | 65% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1121 | 54% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 905 | 74% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
| 1082 | 1009 | 60% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1055 | 978 | 61% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 975 | 1172 | 24% | 2017-05-22 | Won |
| 1236 | 805 | 92% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1020 | 55% | 2017-04-02 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1024 | 54% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1116 | 36% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 1000.4 has a 57.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).