Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1189 | 47% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 953 | 1285 | 13% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1033 | 71% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 877 | 959 | 38% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 866 | 928 | 41% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1142 | 49% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1100 | 928 | 73% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 1189 | 30% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1036 | 57% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1057.2 has a 49.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).