Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (German (SS)): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1022 | 51% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1158 | 51% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 940 | 1324 | 10% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 878 | 969 | 37% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 866 | 900 | 45% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 969 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1099 | 928 | 73% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1158 | 34% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1186 | 893 | 84% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1056.1 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).