Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (21 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 25
Defender wins (German (SS)): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1054 | 52% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1237 | 39% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 991 | 1342 | 12% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1008 | 79% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 879 | 1004 | 33% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 865 | 919 | 42% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 885 | 1115 | 21% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1095 | 927 | 72% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1050 | 1264 | 23% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1237 | 22% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1031 | 52% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1006 | 1117 | 35% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 998 | 58% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1097.2 has a 41.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).