Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (21 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 25
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1054 | 53% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1212 | 43% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1347 | 12% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1046 | 54% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1212 | 993 | 78% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 879 | 906 | 46% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 865 | 871 | 49% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1002 | 984 | 53% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1121 | 907 | 77% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 1263 | 23% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1212 | 25% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1029 | 52% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1024 | 1128 | 35% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1005 | 60% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1081 has a 44.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).