The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2024-11-21 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1155 | 45% | 2024-10-27 | Tied |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1115 | 1127 | 48% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1320 | 12% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 918 | 885 | 55% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1115 | 1131 | 48% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 993 | 44% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
| 1153 | 992 | 72% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 893 | 1203 | 14% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 893 | 1203 | 14% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1154 | 998 | 71% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 861 | 1065 | 24% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1025 | 55% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1057 | 83% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1176 | 55% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1112 | 40% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1091 has a 44.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).