Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 1024 | 18% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 979 | 1031 | 43% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 950 | 71% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1041 | 61% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 888 | 1134 | 20% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 1083 | 922 | 72% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1001.6 vs 1041.6 has a 44.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).