Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 707 | 1046 | 12% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 994 | 1031 | 45% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1019 | 62% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1021 | 64% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 914 | 1133 | 22% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 985 | 1044 | 42% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 986.3 vs 1071 has a 38.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).