Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 740 | 1074 | 13% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1031 | 47% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1110 | 904 | 77% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1122 | 51% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 980 | 1133 | 29% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1043 | 1012 | 54% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 1005 | 949 | 58% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1002.6 vs 1032.1 has a 45.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).