Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 1045 | 16% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 973 | 1030 | 42% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 971 | 68% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1073 | 57% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 889 | 1150 | 18% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 964 | 1076 | 34% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 983.9 vs 1076.3 has a 37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).