Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 754 | 1051 | 15% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 741 | 1032 | 16% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 916 | 74% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1123 | 51% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 935 | 1144 | 23% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 969.7 vs 1031 has a 41.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).