Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 1052 | 15% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1031 | 53% | 2023-11-11 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1043 | 59% | 2022-04-22 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1103 | 52% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 913 | 1170 | 19% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 1202 | 33% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 997 | 1002 | 49% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1002.6 vs 1086.1 has a 38.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).