Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2026-04-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 961 | 49% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 993 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1231 | 20% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1203 | 1070 | 68% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1217 | 988 | 79% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1035 | 55% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 947 | 997 | 43% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1065.6 has a 44.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).