Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 825 | 1033 | 23% | 2026-04-08 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2025-03-02 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1219 | 21% | 2018-07-31 | | Won |
| 1184 | 1022 | 72% | 2018-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2018-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2017-12-30 | | Won |
| 970 | 1146 | 27% | 2017-12-13 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2017-10-01 | | Won |
| 981 | 1014 | 45% | 2017-09-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 1056.3 has a 44.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).