The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (22 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 25
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1068 | 31% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1095 | 1005 | 63% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 909 | 1066 | 29% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 1047 | 38% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 994 | 1057 | 41% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1011 | 52% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 984 | 60% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 972 | 68% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 917 | 64% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 952 | 1220 | 18% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 906 | 56% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1060 | 71% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 906 | 1056 | 30% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1003 | 1037 | 45% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1135 | 43% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 988 | 1024 | 45% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1035.6 has a 52.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).