The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 25
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1019 | 38% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1007 | 63% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 909 | 1066 | 29% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 995 | 45% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1057 | 52% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 980 | 984 | 49% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1103 | 860 | 80% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 991 | 972 | 53% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 959 | 917 | 56% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1035 | 1282 | 19% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 949 | 907 | 56% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1058 | 71% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 906 | 1055 | 30% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1045 | 1019 | 54% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1098 | 48% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 981 | 61% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1030.3 has a 52.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).