The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (19 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 24
Defender wins (German): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1001 | 929 | 60% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
1429 | 1427 | 50% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
1114 | 1003 | 65% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
963 | 1012 | 43% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
1076 | 1034 | 56% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
897 | 977 | 39% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
1204 | 972 | 79% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
994 | 917 | 61% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
1010 | 1160 | 30% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
1059 | 987 | 60% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
1284 | 1050 | 79% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
1063 | 930 | 68% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
1065 | 980 | 62% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
1082 | 989 | 63% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
1013 | 1014 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1025.9 has a 55.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).