Lunch in Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (13 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1176 | 36% | 2023-12-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 1012 | 999 | 52% | 2023-07-31 | Lost |
| 963 | 920 | 56% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 1173 | 22% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1054 | 41% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 983 | 54% | 2018-08-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1238 | 953 | 84% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 941 | 55% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1090 | 26% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1140 | 34% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
| 897 | 1213 | 14% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1064.5 has a 44.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).