Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (American): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 820 | 88% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1040 | 992 | 57% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 957 | 965 | 49% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1074 | 36% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1212 | 906 | 85% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 906 | 46% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1030 | 65% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1128 | 862 | 82% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1128 | 890 | 80% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1072 | 44% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1129 | 49% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1141 | 47% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1081.6 vs 976 has a 64.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).