Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (American): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 808 | 82% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 957 | 933 | 53% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 960 | 71% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1045 | 68% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 1045 | 28% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1136 | 999 | 69% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1130 | 862 | 82% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1130 | 890 | 80% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1072 | 51% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1129 | 49% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1140 | 47% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 996.5 has a 60.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).