Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (American): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 826 | 87% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 1004 | 59% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1006 | 951 | 58% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1203 | 21% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 1144 | 18% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1137 | 916 | 78% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1065 | 861 | 76% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1065 | 890 | 73% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1069 | 44% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1126 | 47% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1152 | 50% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1028.5 has a 54.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).