Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1061 | 46% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1108 | 63% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1309 | 19% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 1085 | 54% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1081 | 47% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1126 | 975 | 70% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1029 | 52% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1039 | 1073 | 45% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1070.1 has a 53.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).