Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 986 | 56% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 981 | 1038 | 42% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1084 | 65% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1274 | 70% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1122 | 1222 | 36% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1124 | 976 | 70% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1122.1 vs 1068.6 has a 57.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).