Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 953 | 61% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 911 | 1090 | 26% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1073 | 64% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1421 | 1232 | 75% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 932 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1222 | 36% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1218 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1238 | 953 | 84% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1125 | 1103 | 53% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1031 | 51% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1096 | 53% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1114.2 vs 1075.6 has a 55.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).