Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 977 | 55% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 850 | 1003 | 29% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1119 | 41% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1227 | 37% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1135 | 45% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1085 | 1020 | 59% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1087 | 57% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1124 | 974 | 70% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 937 | 904 | 55% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1217 | 963 | 81% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1078 | 981 | 64% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1085 | 45% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 994 | 1105 | 35% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1044.6 has a 52.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).