Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (28 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1234 | 766 | 94% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 995 | 1010 | 48% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 896 | 1102 | 23% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 909 | 1090 | 26% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1010 | 50% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 987 | 982 | 51% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 899 | 1019 | 33% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1062 | 48% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1043 | 54% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1067 | 49% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1289 | 32% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1051 | 64% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1209 | 51% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1188 | 1193 | 49% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1118 | 1115 | 50% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1169 | 1289 | 33% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1065 | 49% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 970 | 1128 | 29% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1081.7 has a 48.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).