Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (31 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 780 | 86% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 993 | 1007 | 48% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1025 | 820 | 76% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 951 | 1154 | 24% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1010 | 50% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 1034 | 989 | 56% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 928 | 1044 | 34% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1029 | 53% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1108 | 71% | 2019-04-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1007 | 61% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1068 | 45% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1042 | 56% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1241 | 38% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1007 | 74% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1039 | 65% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 984 | 79% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1221 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1263 | 37% | 2018-01-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1099 | 44% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1180 | 1119 | 59% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1060 | 1013 | 57% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 1241 | 24% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1146 | 1152 | 49% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 969 | 1123 | 29% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1087.5 vs 1060.2 has a 53.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).