Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (30 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 780 | 91% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 993 | 979 | 52% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 909 | 1066 | 29% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 1152 | 28% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 979 | 1010 | 46% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 913 | 1044 | 32% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1134 | 976 | 71% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1264 | 1108 | 71% | 2019-04-13 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1068 | 44% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1072 | 58% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1220 | 41% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1165 | 979 | 74% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1051 | 64% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 984 | 79% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1264 | 37% | 2018-01-10 | Lost |
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1054 | 1064 | 49% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1180 | 1159 | 53% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1232 | 42% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 942 | 1052 | 35% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1019 | 1013 | 51% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 1220 | 28% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1134 | 1152 | 47% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1084.4 vs 1066.2 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).