Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (28 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 767 | 94% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 997 | 959 | 55% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 890 | 1092 | 24% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 903 | 1089 | 26% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 959 | 1008 | 43% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 987 | 1008 | 47% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 928 | 1225 | 15% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1003 | 57% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1065 | 57% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1264 | 35% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1051 | 64% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1236 | 1236 | 50% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1209 | 23% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1115 | 1136 | 47% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1169 | 1264 | 37% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1058 | 1066 | 49% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1088.6 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).