Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (30 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1184 | 780 | 91% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 993 | 991 | 50% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 909 | 1066 | 29% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 967 | 1076 | 35% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 991 | 1010 | 47% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 994 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 904 | 1044 | 31% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1053 | 50% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1283 | 1109 | 73% | 2019-04-13 | Lost |
| 1125 | 991 | 68% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1066 | 51% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1072 | 58% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1170 | 48% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1051 | 64% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 950 | 82% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1283 | 35% | 2018-01-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 1102 | 55% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1180 | 1159 | 53% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 1075 | 956 | 66% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 1170 | 34% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1151 | 42% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 970 | 1164 | 25% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1090.7 vs 1067 has a 53.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).