Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (28 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 762 | 91% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 994 | 1039 | 44% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 896 | 1099 | 24% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 1089 | 31% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1010 | 54% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 992 | 989 | 50% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 918 | 1047 | 32% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1056 | 49% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1066 | 60% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1102 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1210 | 43% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1039 | 69% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1051 | 64% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 950 | 82% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1181 | 1203 | 47% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1118 | 1127 | 49% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1176 | 1210 | 45% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 971 | 1153 | 26% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1074.9 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).