Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (21 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1017 | 69% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1138 | 46% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 1054 | 64% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1217 | 992 | 79% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 953 | 76% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 1029 | 1125 | 37% | 2018-04-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1217 | 32% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1122 | 43% | 2018-03-23 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1039 | 72% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1029 | 62% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2017-12-24 | Won |
| 1098 | 1073 | 54% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1100 | 46% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 953 | 1113 | 28% | 2017-11-12 | Tied |
| 1078 | 1124 | 43% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1104.6 vs 1087.7 has a 52.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).