Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (20 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (French): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1017 | 69% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1154 | 1151 | 50% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1081 | 58% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1219 | 991 | 79% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 959 | 76% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 1089 | 1126 | 45% | 2018-04-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1219 | 33% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1110 | 43% | 2018-03-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1089 | 49% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-12-24 | Won |
| 1043 | 1140 | 36% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1095 | 49% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2017-11-12 | Tied |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1103.9 vs 1086.9 has a 52.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).