Euphrates Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (4 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 6
Defender wins (Bedouin tribes): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 1264 | 50% | 2022-06-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 899 | 67% | 2021-12-03 | Won |
| 952 | 1041 | 37% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1189 | 1141 | 57% | 2018-01-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1106 vs 1086.3 has a 52.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).