Up the Liri Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (31 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 56
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 1089 | 57% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 1094 | 951 | 69% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 904 | 1031 | 32% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 910 | 1132 | 22% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1086 | 48% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 1132 | 904 | 79% | 2022-06-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 956 | 767 | 75% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 767 | 1029 | 18% | 2021-02-17 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1072 | 61% | 2020-10-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1003 | 78% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 991 | 1028 | 45% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1028 | 971 | 58% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 891 | 66% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 991 | 53% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
| 1044 | 1036 | 51% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 922 | 1043 | 33% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1117 | 1116 | 50% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1120 | 53% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 949 | 1166 | 22% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 910 | 86% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 969 | 1110 | 31% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1264 | 39% | 2018-03-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1084 | 46% | 2018-01-18 | Won |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2017-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1052.8 has a 52.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).