Up the Liri Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (38 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 61
Defender wins (German): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-16 | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-03-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 999.6 vs 999.6 has a 50% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).