The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1060 | 35% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1013 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 927 | 962 | 45% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 979 | 68% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1006 | 78% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 948 | 1073 | 33% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1148 | 930 | 78% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 958 | 60% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1206 | 979 | 79% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1082 | 47% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1077.5 vs 999.5 has a 61.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).