The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1063 | 1033 | 54% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 904 | 969 | 41% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 983 | 80% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 949 | 1075 | 33% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1079 | 975 | 65% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1024 | 959 | 59% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1076.6 vs 1001.4 has a 60.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).