The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1068 | 1033 | 55% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 928 | 970 | 44% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 1110 | 55% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1217 | 51% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 948 | 1083 | 31% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 955 | 1092 | 31% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1079 | 977 | 64% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1191 | 1110 | 61% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1021 | 55% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1076.5 vs 1039.8 has a 55.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).