Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2024-12-02 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2019-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1044 | 63% | 2018-11-22 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2018-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1224 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1089 vs 1030.6 has a 58.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).