Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1165 | 1020 | 70% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1115 | 53% | 2018-11-22 | Lost |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1016 | 59% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1210 | 926 | 84% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1131 | 35% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1052.1 has a 55.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).