Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 995 | 46% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1215 | 1001 | 77% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1042 | 63% | 2018-11-22 | Lost |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1016 | 49% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1238 | 923 | 86% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1131 | 32% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1027.3 has a 57.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).