Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 986 | 58% | 2024-12-02 | | Won |
| 1175 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2018-11-22 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2018-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1035.4 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).