The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (French): 2
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-08-11 | | Won |
| 1137 | 996 | 69% | 2024-06-06 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2018-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2018-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-06-24 | | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2018-06-24 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2018-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 975 | 67% | 2018-05-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1051 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).