Mauled at Merdorp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (French): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1042 | 58% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1045 | 1152 | 35% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2022-03-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1135 | 39% | 2021-07-22 | Lost |
| 949 | 1055 | 35% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 933 | 1044 | 35% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1041 | 55% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2018-10-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2018-05-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 991 | 68% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1164 | 66% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1286 | 35% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1107 | 54% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1100.6 vs 1083.6 has a 52.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).