Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 1016 | 51% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1171 | 1167 | 51% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1010 | 46% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 879 | 1127 | 19% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 1078 | 33% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 1045 | 1087 | 44% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1040 | 48% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1109 | 45% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1139 | 970 | 73% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1045 | 1143 | 36% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1098 | 1020 | 61% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 918 | 1097 | 26% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1068.7 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).