Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1024 | 1015 | 51% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1171 | 1208 | 45% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 952 | 1011 | 42% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 927 | 1112 | 26% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 1051 | 1088 | 45% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 1078 | 43% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1057.6 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).