Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (North Korean): 9
Defender wins (South Korean): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2024-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2024-08-09 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1170 | 56% | 2024-06-14 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1010 | 42% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1140 | 24% | 2022-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1113 | 34% | 2020-12-08 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-07-11 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | | Won |
| 967 | 1134 | 28% | 2019-01-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 994 | 58% | 2018-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2018-05-08 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2018-05-06 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2018-03-14 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1109 | 25% | 2018-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2018-01-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1060.6 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).