Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (North Korean): 9
Defender wins (South Korean): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1201 | 1031 | 73% | 2024-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2024-08-09 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1207 | 51% | 2024-06-14 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1140 | 27% | 2022-01-18 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1156 | 26% | 2020-12-08 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-07-11 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2019-01-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 987 | 60% | 2018-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2018-05-08 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1143 | 41% | 2018-05-06 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1081 | 59% | 2018-03-14 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2018-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2018-01-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1063.6 has a 50.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).