Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 24
Defender wins (South Korean): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1078 | 877 | 76% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 906 | 1011 | 35% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 957 | 1073 | 34% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 961 | 62% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 1138 | 1093 | 56% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 961 | 1111 | 30% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 911 | 1061 | 30% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1144 | 986 | 71% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1069 | 1115 | 43% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 967 | 1051 | 38% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 960 | 1055 | 37% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1031.6 vs 1035.1 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).