Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (19 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1237 | 1049 | 75% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 995 | 54% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1175 | 1203 | 46% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1004 | 79% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 972 | 1010 | 45% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 934 | 1127 | 25% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 1115 | 885 | 79% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1035 | 43% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 992 | 1054 | 41% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 1106 | 31% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1031 | 1144 | 34% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 941 | 1059 | 34% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1099 | 80% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1056 has a 52.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).