The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (12 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 900 | 48% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1060 | 55% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 987 | 917 | 60% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1076 | 47% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1082 | 33% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1023.8 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).