The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (12 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 918 | 45% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1065 | 54% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 960 | 917 | 56% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1076 | 46% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1082 | 33% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1025.9 has a 51.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).