The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 984 | 53% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1161 | 46% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 992 | 1227 | 21% | 2026-01-05 | Lost |
| 969 | 909 | 59% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 884 | 871 | 52% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 971 | 974 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1128 | 36% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 1005 | 918 | 62% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 969 | 1085 | 34% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1328 | 1343 | 48% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1007 | 43% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1054.1 has a 46.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).