Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (7 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1015 | 60% | 2026-01-27 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2025-07-07 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1054 | 62% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2001-04-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 975.7 vs 1071.3 has a 36.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).