Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (6 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2025-07-07 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1028 | 63% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1074 | 41% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2001-04-09 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 935.5 vs 1074.3 has a 31.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).