Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (6 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2025-07-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1036 | 62% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1074 | 41% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2001-04-09 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 922.3 vs 1068.8 has a 30.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).