The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (21 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 896 | 896 | 50% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1243 | 36% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1303 | 44% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1243 | 20% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1256 | 35% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1146 | 55% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1024 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1027 | 55% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1139 | 34% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 969 | 1052 | 38% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 950 | 949 | 50% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1122 | 48% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 756 | 827 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 933 | 73% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 933 | 45% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 895 | 933 | 45% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1199 | 49% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1032.3 vs 1061 has a 45.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).