The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (18 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 1149 | 66% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1149 | 1257 | 35% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 991 | 1010 | 47% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1036 | 54% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1119 | 38% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 1007 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 960 | 1021 | 41% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 920 | 951 | 46% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1127 | 37% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 831 | 825 | 51% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 949 | 71% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 949 | 43% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 919 | 949 | 46% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1170 | 51% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1027.9 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).