The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2026-03-03 | | Won |
| 1193 | 1205 | 48% | 2026-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1317 | 42% | 2026-02-01 | | Won |
| 1005 | 1205 | 24% | 2025-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1187 | 25% | 2023-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2023-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2023-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-10-30 | | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | | Won |
| 970 | 1022 | 43% | 2020-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 949 | 59% | 2020-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1122 | 56% | 2020-09-14 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-06-20 | | Lost |
| 698 | 1000 | 15% | 2019-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2018-09-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2018-06-29 | | Won |
| 889 | 1156 | 18% | 2018-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1221 | 22% | 2018-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2018-04-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1084.9 has a 42.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).