The Wrong Choice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 764 | 1189 | 8% | 2025-09-01 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2025-08-01 | Tied |
| 945 | 1020 | 39% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 914 vs 1073 has a 28.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).