The Wrong Choice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 1159 | 10% | 2025-09-01 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2025-08-01 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2019-12-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 910.3 vs 1077 has a 27.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).