A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 1203 | 57% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1072 | 999 | 60% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1036 | 996 | 56% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 958 | 983 | 46% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1140 | 27% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1064 | 826 | 80% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1136 | 1072 | 59% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1218 | 930 | 84% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1031.1 has a 56.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).