A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1207 | 47% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1091 | 999 | 63% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 947 | 1131 | 26% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 907 | 65% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 997 | 1152 | 29% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1198 | 844 | 88% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1137 | 1091 | 57% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 938 | 83% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1088.4 vs 1035.6 has a 57.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).