A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1282 | 1264 | 53% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1086 | 999 | 62% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1043 | 920 | 67% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1008 | 1089 | 39% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 842 | 90% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1136 | 1086 | 57% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 938 | 83% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1124.8 vs 1033.8 has a 62.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).