A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1282 | 1289 | 49% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1098 | 999 | 64% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 905 | 66% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1008 | 1074 | 41% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 1152 | 29% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1193 | 844 | 88% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1136 | 1098 | 55% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1221 | 939 | 84% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1107.4 vs 1049.2 has a 58.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).