A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2024-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1027 | 1029 | 50% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 959 | 1055 | 37% | 2019-03-07 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1141 | 24% | 2018-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2018-04-14 | | Won |
| 1218 | 938 | 83% | 2018-03-10 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1058 has a 45.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).