Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1069 | 38% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 1163 | 30% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 942 | 956 | 48% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1049 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1080 | 911 | 73% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1022 | 61% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1012 | 78% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1223 | 1185 | 55% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1047 | 965 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 883 | 82% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1338 | 1343 | 49% | 2018-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1092.1 vs 1045.1 has a 56.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).