Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (8 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1058 | 1031 | 54% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
1104 | 916 | 75% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
1092 | 1108 | 48% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
1197 | 980 | 78% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1116.1 vs 1027 has a 62.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).