Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (12 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1274 | 1234 | 56% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1107 | 40% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 939 | 1039 | 36% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 982 | 1032 | 43% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1193 | 881 | 86% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1118 | 47% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1146 | 993 | 71% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 909 | 69% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1152 | 882 | 83% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1102.5 vs 1034.3 has a 59.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).