Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (15 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2026-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1166 | 1084 | 62% | 2025-11-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2025-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2024-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2024-09-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-03 | | Won |
| 1118 | 981 | 69% | 2022-07-12 | | Won |
| 842 | 1134 | 16% | 2021-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 982 | 58% | 2020-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 927 | 67% | 2020-07-03 | | Won |
| 1024 | 994 | 54% | 2020-07-01 | | Won |
| 1257 | 947 | 86% | 2020-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 1199 | 886 | 86% | 2018-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2018-04-10 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1046.2 vs 1020.1 has a 53.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).