Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1069 | 51% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1177 | 28% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 941 | 1029 | 38% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1049 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 930 | 73% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1097 | 50% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1200 | 1012 | 75% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 985 | 58% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 883 | 81% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1044.6 has a 53.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).