Black Day in Hatten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (44 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 74
Defender wins (German): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
942 | 1058 | 34% | 2024-02-28 | Lost |
958 | 1095 | 31% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
981 | 1050 | 40% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
926 | 924 | 50% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
1142 | 1188 | 43% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
901 | 892 | 51% | 2023-01-20 | Won |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2022-11-01 | Won |
947 | 1152 | 24% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
865 | 780 | 62% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
1345 | 1360 | 48% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
1076 | 944 | 68% | 2022-03-23 | Won |
1030 | 1022 | 51% | 2021-12-05 | Lost |
1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2021-12-04 | Won |
1016 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2021-10-13 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2021-02-18 | Lost |
1034 | 1055 | 47% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
1051 | 1173 | 33% | 2020-12-02 | Lost |
1173 | 1175 | 50% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
927 | 1055 | 32% | 2020-06-07 | Won |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
1284 | 961 | 87% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
1018 | 943 | 61% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
943 | 1018 | 39% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
1121 | 1008 | 66% | 2019-09-16 | Won |
1208 | 1160 | 57% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
931 | 926 | 51% | 2018-12-30 | Won |
1205 | 1284 | 39% | 2018-12-23 | Lost |
986 | 1026 | 44% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
1026 | 1172 | 30% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
959 | 1090 | 32% | 2018-11-06 | Won |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2018-11-06 | Won |
879 | 1108 | 21% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
879 | 1108 | 21% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
879 | 1108 | 21% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
1037 | 1104 | 40% | 2018-10-26 | Lost |
1093 | 1300 | 23% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
856 | 1198 | 12% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
849 | 881 | 45% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
1133 | 1083 | 57% | 2018-09-01 | Lost |
969 | 1137 | 28% | 2018-09-01 | Lost |
987 | 1013 | 46% | 2018-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1018.6 vs 1064.7 has a 43.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).