Bertoldo the Brave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (22 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (American): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 974 | 51% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-06-03 | Tied |
947 | 1152 | 24% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
1022 | 1028 | 49% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
1034 | 950 | 62% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
1175 | 1178 | 50% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
989 | 1025 | 45% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
971 | 1026 | 42% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
969 | 1008 | 44% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
956 | 997 | 44% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
1175 | 876 | 85% | 2019-10-20 | Won |
992 | 1055 | 41% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
1137 | 1135 | 50% | 2019-01-23 | Won |
870 | 1109 | 20% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
1284 | 1205 | 61% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
1063 | 1133 | 40% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
977 | 897 | 61% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
1108 | 879 | 79% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
1204 | 856 | 88% | 2018-10-13 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.2 vs 1041.8 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).