Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (42 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (American): 71
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 864 | 60% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 903 | 62% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 869 | 994 | 33% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2022-08-03 | Won |
| 1022 | 1084 | 41% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1116 | 51% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
| 943 | 1310 | 11% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1029 | 83% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1310 | 14% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
| 994 | 1008 | 48% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 934 | 931 | 50% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
| 956 | 987 | 46% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
| 996 | 999 | 50% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1106 | 1006 | 64% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 925 | 903 | 53% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1248 | 21% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1106 | 34% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
| 1044 | 1099 | 42% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 903 | 1109 | 23% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1032 | 75% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 899 | 58% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1151 | 41% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1227 | 49% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
| 959 | 877 | 62% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 878 | 82% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1043 | 45% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1089 | 39% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1044.5 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).