Graveyard Shift
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (18 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 949 | 64% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 942 | 864 | 61% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1045 | 1163 | 34% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1114 | 1219 | 35% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1110 | 1098 | 52% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-21 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1028 | 57% | 2019-02-17 | Won |
| 802 | 879 | 39% | 2019-02-03 | Won |
| 876 | 1070 | 25% | 2019-01-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 802 | 88% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1247 | 34% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1015 | 50% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1022.6 has a 53.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).