Graveyard Shift
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1055 | 39% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-09-13 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1143 | 1216 | 40% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1103 | 1098 | 51% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1037 | 54% | 2019-02-17 | Won |
| 985 | 879 | 65% | 2019-02-03 | Won |
| 876 | 1086 | 23% | 2019-01-15 | Lost |
| 1186 | 985 | 76% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1158 | 1266 | 35% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1015 | 50% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1073.2 vs 1051.4 has a 53.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).