Graveyard Shift
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 953 | 855 | 64% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1172 | 1171 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-09-13 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1045 | 1163 | 34% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1136 | 1218 | 38% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1103 | 1098 | 51% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1016 | 885 | 68% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1002 | 59% | 2019-02-17 | Won |
| 805 | 879 | 40% | 2019-02-03 | Won |
| 876 | 1060 | 26% | 2019-01-15 | Lost |
| 1217 | 805 | 91% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1167 | 858 | 86% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1167 | 1257 | 37% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1015 | 50% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1036.9 has a 53.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).