Fish to Fry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 8
Defender wins (North Korean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 916 | 1115 | 24% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1137 | 47% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1024 | 58% | 2019-01-12 | Won |
| 1050 | 1052 | 50% | 2018-12-17 | Won |
| 974 | 1050 | 39% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.2 vs 1097 has a 43.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).