Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 979 | 1010 | 46% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
| 956 | 1036 | 39% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1059 | 836 | 78% | 2019-05-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1225 | 21% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1184 | 26% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1005.4 vs 1013.1 has a 48.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).