Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (27 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1129 | 1014 | 66% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 903 | 1050 | 30% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1310 | 19% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1157 | 31% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1019 | 900 | 66% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1149 | 989 | 72% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 841 | 1149 | 15% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1058 | 75% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 903 | 1036 | 32% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 903 | 1036 | 32% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 928 | 62% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 1154 | 952 | 76% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1085 | 952 | 68% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 903 | 71% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1043 | 1140 | 36% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1157 | 1085 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 970 | 1089 | 34% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 922 | 1264 | 12% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1038.1 vs 1063 has a 46.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).