Death to Fascism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (20 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (Romanian/German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Romanian/German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1423 | 1060 | 89% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2023-06-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1105 | 975 | 68% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1074 | 969 | 65% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1283 | 1111 | 73% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 989 | 1200 | 23% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1338 | 42% | 2019-03-13 | Lost |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1052 | 68% | 2018-12-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1151 | 32% | 2018-11-30 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2018-11-07 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1143 | 52% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1079 | 975 | 65% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1125 | 980 | 70% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 1024 | 59% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1303 | 1098 | 76% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1051 | 1140 | 37% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1127.7 vs 1094.9 has a 54.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).